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The slowdown in Canada's residential real estate market may now be spreading to the rental market, with rents falling in many cities after a prolonged period of rapid growth.
That could be good news for renters in Toronto and Vancouver, where rents were rising at double-digit rates in recent years, and where few vacant apartments can be found.
According to data from rental site Padmapper, the average one-bedroom apartment in Toronto fell by 4.4 per cent in February, to an average of $1,970. Two-bedroom units fell by 2 per cent to an average of $2,500.
Prices for one-bedroom apartments also fell in Calgary, Montreal and Quebec City. They were flat in Ottawa and Edmonton, and rose slightly — by 0.5 per cent — in Vancouver.
That's not to say apartments are suddenly more affordable; in many cities, prices are still considerably higher than they were a year ago.
In Toronto, which has seen the strongest price growth of any city in the past year, one-bedroom units are still 15.9 per cent more expensive than a year ago, Padmapper's data shows.
It's common for the rental market to slow down in the winter months, but it "just seems to have hit harder this year than previous years," a Padmapper spokesperson told HuffPost Canada.
"The recent slowdown in home sales could definitely be a factor in this, but as the months warm up and more people start to move, that is when we will see if rental rates are actually softening (compared to) previous years' hot markets."
A slowdown in price growth would be welcome relief to tenants, especially in Toronto and Vancouver, where apartment vacancy rates have fallen to absurdly low levels — 1 per cent and 0.7 per cent, respectively, according to the latest estimates from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
That lack of rental housing supply is beginning to have noticeable social consequences. In Vancouver, news reports suggest a growing number of people are living in their cars.
Article from Huffington Post - Daniel Tencer
In Toronto, tenants are starting to confront landlords over "renovictions" — the phenomenon of building owners pushing out tenants in order to renovate apartments and then rent them out at much higher rates.
Ontario's housing minister, Peter Milczyn, said this week he wants to limit renovictions, and will review the province's tenant act "to see if changes need to be made."
The year’s most-read news stories take in the BC election, the mortgage stress test and some diverging market predictions
In a year of market uncertainty, various government interventions and a provincial election, REW’s News + Trends category saw more clicks than ever before. But what were the hottest of all those hot topics? Here’s our countdown of our five most-clicked News + Trends stories of the year…
The fifth most-read news story of 2017 was the announcement of the dreaded “stress test” qualification rules being extended to all new mortgage applicants. The test had already been applied to applicants for insured mortgages (less than 20% down payment) in the fall of 2016, but fears that even those buyers with 20% down payment or more were overstretching themselves – and putting banks at risk – led to the much-anticipated announcement in October 2017. There was a lot of pushback, with some decrying the decision as likely to make things worse.
The only provincial election story to hit our top five most-clicked is this pre-election piece about a key NDP housing promise. The eventually victorious party pledged that if it were to gain power, it would impose a 2% tax on owners of Vancouver homes who do not pay Canadian income taxes (with many exemptions for non-taxpaying locals). As of December 2017, there’s no sign of any such tax so far, but it’s still early days.
The second of two stories on the new stress test, this one anticipates the October confirmation about the new policy, with TD Bank predicting that it could cool the housing market. The reduction in buyers’ purchasing power could be as much as 20%, and with some markets already seeing a slowdown, the new rules could exacerbate any price corrections, said the bank. We’ll see in the first part of 2018 whether TD’s number-crunchers were right…
One of two prediction stories about Vancouver’s housing market in these rankings, this piece was more of a warning than an optimistic outlook. At an industry event, leading real estate marketer Cameron McNeill from MLA Canada warned that the relatively slow rate of new home construction combined with increased demand and population growth meant that Vancouver was “dancing on the edges of a massive problem” in housing supply. What does this mean for market activity and home prices? “We ain’t seen nothin’ yet,” McNeill warned. The article that covered his comments obviously rang our users’ alarm bells, as it was the year’s second most-read News + Trends story.
Our top story of the year was also our first story of the year. This January 3, 2017 article was a round-up of market predictions from various industry groups and Big Banks – some of them bullish, some less so. Most predicted a drop in home sales compared with the frenzy of early 2016 – correctly, as it turns out. But the overall consensus that Vancouver and BC home prices would lose ground turned out to be inaccurate – only Central 1 was correct, in that home prices in fall of 2017 would be higher than a year previously. This story was popular right off the bat in January, but readers also kept coming back to it throughout the year – perhaps to see whose predictions had been right…
Original Article HERE
Joannah Connolly
VANCOUVER — Nearly 8,500 homes have been declared vacant or underused in Vancouver after the submission deadline passed for the city's new empty homes tax.
The figure not only includes properties that were deemed unoccupied for six months or more, but also those that claimed one of the various exemptions to the levy. It also includes about 2,100 homes that will be hit with the tax because no declaration was submitted by Monday's deadline.
Near-zero vacancy rate
The tax is the first of its kind in Canada and is set at a rate of one per cent of a home's assessed value. It's aimed at freeing up more units for the city's tight rental market.
"Vancouver housing needs to be for homes first, not just treated as a commodity," said Mayor Gregor Robertson in a news release.
"We brought in an empty homes tax because Vancouver has a near-zero vacancy rate and many people are struggling to find a place to rent."
About 184,000 homeowners — 98 per cent — submitted their declarations on time.
Sixty per cent of the empty or underused units are condominiums, 34 per cent are single-family houses and six per cent are multi-family and other types of homes, the city said.
Downtown Vancouver is home to 2,250 unoccupied or underutilized homes, by far the largest number. But the West End and Shaughnessy have the highest percentage of vacant units relative to the total number of residential properties in the neighbourhoods, at eight per cent each.
Declared vacant and undeclared properties will be issued a vacancy tax bill in mid-March with payment due by April 16, the city said.
But the city did not say how many of the 8,481 unoccupied or underutilized homes were granted an exemption. So it's unclear how many homes will receive a tax bill, apart from the 2,132 undeclared units.
Numbers, revenue to be released in fall
There are a wide range of exemptions for homes that are left empty for more than six months a year, including if it's a primary residence, if it's undergoing renovations or the owner is in hospital or long-term care.
City spokesman Jag Sandhu said specific numbers of exempt or vacant declarations will not be confirmed until audits have been conducted and owners have submitted appeals. The numbers will be released, along with the revenue raised by the tax, in an annual report to council this fall, he said.
The provincial government signalled in its budget last month that it intended to introduce a tax on homeowners who do not pay income taxes in B.C. and leave their units vacant. The plan means that some owners of empty Vancouver homes could end up paying both a city and a provincial tax.
A 2016 city-commissioned report analyzed electricity use and found about 10,800 Vancouver homes were left vacant for more than a year, most of them condominiums.
Original Article HERE
You have saved enough money for the down payment and you are excited to buy a property. You have spent considerable amount of time looking for the right home and your mortgage has been approved. However, there are certain things that can affect your mortgage approval, which is based on more than just having the down payment. Some of the things lenders also consider are your income, employment history, credit history, other properties and so on.
Most lenders request your credit score within 30 days of the approval – and they might even request a new one between the mortgage approval and funding date, especially when there is a long period between the two.
So how can you ensure nothing goes wrong in that time?
The following helpful tips explain what not to do between the time your mortgage is approved and when you receive the funds.
Buying a home and getting approved for a mortgage is not meant to be a difficult process. It is important to do your due diligence and know as much as possible and make informed decisions on your path to homeownership. If you are in doubt, it’s always best to call your mortgage expert before making a move that could jeopardize your approval.
Alisa Aragon - Dominion Lending Centres Mountain View July 4, 2016
Original Article HERE
Mortgage brokers say the borrower rejection rate from large banks and traditional monoline mortgage lenders has gone up as much as 20 per cent after Canada's banking regulator imposed a new stress test for home buyers who don't need mortgage insurance.
As a result, alternative lenders are seeing an uptick in business as brokers increasingly direct home buyers toward borrowing options that are beyond the reach of the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions' newly enacted tighter lending requirements.
Clients who don't meet the bar are turning to private lenders, mortgage investment corporations (MICs) and credit unions, which are provincially regulated and not required to implement the stress test, said Carmen Campagnaro, president of Pro Funds Mortgages in Burlington, Ont.
Campagnaro is one of the brokers who said rejected loan applications to traditional lenders have risen by 20 per cent since Jan. 1, when OSFI mandated a new stress test for uninsured borrowers, or those who have more than a 20 per cent down payment.
Private lender Fisgard Asset Management Corporation in Victoria is seeing an influx of borrowers and "better quality business" said Hali Noble, its senior vice president of residential mortgage investments and broker relations.
"A lot of these people should be bankable," said Noble. "But they're not."
The guidelines, known as B20, are aimed at curbing risky lending amid rising household indebtedness and high home prices in some markets.
In order to get a loan from a federally regulated lender, home buyers have to prove that they can service their uninsured mortgage at a qualifying rate of the greater of the contractual mortgage rate plus two percentage points or the five-year benchmark rate published by the Bank of Canada. An existing stress test already requires those with insured mortgages to qualify at the Bank of Canada benchmark five-year mortgage rule.
Superintendent Jeremy Rudin has said OSFI is aware the stricter rules could have unintended consequences, such as sending borrowers towards more risky lenders that are out of the regulator's purview.
"We can't control what we can't control,'' he said in October.
"Our mandate is focused on the safety and soundness of the federally regulated institutions ... It isn't something that we favour but it isn't something that we have an authority to prevent.''
Since the revised mortgage guidelines came into force, both the Bank of Canada of rate and benchmark rate has risen, dealing a "double extra whammy" to borrowers, said Dave Teixeira, vice president of operations, public relations and communications for Dominion Lending Centres.
Dominion mortgage brokers are seeing a higher rate of rejection and clients have to submit multiple applications to various institutions before finding a lender that works, he added.
In turn, their brokers are submitting 80 per cent more applications than last year, Teixeira said.
"Normally, we would see our volume going to the big banks and monolines, and now we're seeing a little bit more of that, roughly up to 20 per cent ... moving over to credit unions."
Tighter standards at the credit unions
However, some credit unions have voluntarily implemented the new stress test or tightened their own requirements.
Quebec credit union Desjardins Group has been applying OSFI's new mortgage rules in full since Jan. 1.
"We believe it represents an effective way to protect consumers against interest rates variations," said Desjardins spokeswoman Valerie Lamarre.
Vancouver-based Vancity Credit Union has voluntarily increased the stress test its members must meet to qualify for a mortgage.
Rick Sielski, Vancity's senior vice president of risk, would not disclose the mechanics of the stress test and said it was too early to gauge the impact of the new guidelines.
"What we're really trying to do is make sure we're serving our market, serving our members in a responsible way," he said.
Lenders getting pickier
The higher bar for borrowers is also shifting business to riskier lenders.
Harold Gerstel, better known as Harold the Mortgage Closer from his television ads, said his Toronto-based mortgage arm is seeing an influx as well.
"We're definitely getting more business. Whether it's a substantial change, it's too early to tell," he said.
The new rules are sending better quality demand down the credit line, said Robert McLister, a mortgage planner at IntelliMortgage and the founder of RateSpy.com.
"The demand is shifting down the ladder, so you have these less regulated lenders with higher risk tolerance now seeing materially more business. And they can charge more, and they can be pickier with the types of borrowers that they lend to."
The City of Vancouver brought in an Empty Homes Tax, also known as the Vacancy Tax, on January 1, 2017 under Vacancy Tax By-law No. 11674.
The tax came into effect January 1, 2018.
All Vancouver home owners have now received a property status declaration from the city and are required to submit a declaration.
The declaration helps the city determine if a property is subject to the Empty Homes Tax.
Home owners must return their declaration by February 2, 2018. These instructions outline how to submit a declaration.
If the city determinesa property is empty, the owner must pay a tax of one per cent of the property’s assessed taxable value.
The Empty Homes Tax doesn’t apply to principal residences or homes rented for at least six months of the year.
The city reports that 55 per cent of home owners have already submitted declarations.
A Guide to Vancouver’s Empty Homes Tax, July 14, 2017
If you have any questions about the empty home tax, contact me HERE
Orignal Article HERE
Housing markets around the world are showing signs of losing steam, but Canada's market isn't among them — yet.
The Great White North is still clocking in some of the world's fastest house price growth, though that is likely to come to an end in the first half of this year, amid tough new mortgage rules and higher interest rates.
According to data released this week by the Global Property Guide, a site for residential real estate investors, Canada saw the world's fourth-fastest property price growth in the third quarter of 2017, behind only Iceland, Hong Kong and Macau.
But prices in a majority of housing markets surveyed by GPG have either turned negative or slowed down. The U.K., Beijing, Singapore and Mexico are among the places now seeing falling house prices.
"Globally housing markets are slowing sharply," GPG said in a release Tuesday.
Of 47 housing markets surveyed, 21 recorded lower house prices in the third quarter of 2017 than a year earlier. That's a notable change from the previous quarter, when only 15 countries were showing year-on-year declines.
Two-thirds of all housing markets surveyed showed slowing momentum — either lower prices or slower price growth than earlier. Once-hot New Zealand is now barely eking out any price growth at all.
Meanwhile, "Canada ... is in the middle of a house price boom," the report noted.
That's despite the introduction of foreign-buyers' taxes for the Toronto and Vancouver housing markets, as well as other measures in Ontario's Fair Housing Plan designed to cool house price growth.
Recent data suggests that while the detached-home markets in those cities have slowed down, condos are still seeing strong price growth.
For instance, the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reported on Wednesday that benchmark condo prices in the metro area soared nearly 26 per cent in the past year, while detached home prices grew a slower 7.9 per cent.
Canada's housing markets are moving into 2018 facing a perfect storm of conditions that could put a damper on activity and add the country to the list of places where residential property is slowing down.
A new "stress test" for borrowers of traditional mortgages comes into effect this month, and it's expected to reduce homebuyers' purchasing power by about 21 per cent. The Bank of Canada estimates that the new rule will disqualify about one in 10 prospective homebuyers.
At the same time, the experts predict the Bank of Canada will continue raising interest rates this year, though there is little agreement as to how quickly that will happen.
A report from credit rating agency DBRS last fall warned Canadian mortgage borrowers risk "payment shock" in the coming years. After years of slowly declining mortgage rates, Canadians can now expect to see mortgage rates start rising in the long term, DBRS said, putting pressure on household finances.
With adverse conditions ahead, the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has downgraded its forecast for Canada's housing market for 2018. It now predicts nationwide home sales will fall by 5.3 per cent in 2018.
"The overwhelming majority of the forecast decline in sales next year reflects an expected decline in Ontario sales, with activity anticipated to remain well below the record levels logged in early 2017," CREA said last month.
It sees house prices staying flat in British Columbia in 2018, while falling 2.2 per cent, on average, in Ontario.
The association estimates that the slowdown in the housing market will take a $1.1-billion bite out of Canada's economy, and will translate into 12,000 fewer jobs.
But CREA doesn't see disaster on the horizon. The group predicts a rebound in Canada's housing market in the second half of the year, once prospective buyers have adjusted to the new mortgage rules and higher interest rates
Original Article HERE
Effective January 1, 2018, home buyers who don't require mortgage insurance — those with a down payment of 20 per cent or more — must qualify for their mortgage at a higher rate.
This new stress test doesn't apply to people renewing their uninsured mortgage.
Canada's Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) announced these rule changes on October 17. Draft changes were released in the summer for public feedback.
Under the new rules, the minimum qualifying rate for uninsured mortgages will be the greater of the Bank of Canada’s five-year benchmark rate or the contractual mortgage rate plus two per cent.
OSFI will also require lenders to enhance their loan-to-value (LTV) limits and restrict certain lending arrangements designed to circumvent LTV limits.
These changes apply to all federally regulated financial institutions.
This is the seventh time since 2008 that the federal government has made mortgage policy changes.
Cameron Muir, BC Real Estate Association chief economist believes this will have a significant impact on the real estate market:
The impact of the new stress test requirement will be to lower the purchasing power of households by up to 20 per cent. Like past tightening of mortgage regulations, we anticipate that the market impact will be sharp but temporary. In the past, we’ve seen home sales decline in the three to nine months following the implementation of tighter mortgage lending standards, with the severity of the impact fading within one year. However, these new regulations impact a larger pool of mortgages and so the impact could be more significant than in the past.
Read the government’s full announcement here.
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